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Iowa

2024 US Presidential Election

Two charts that reveal a key weakness in Trump’s reelection bid

— Donald Trump’s New Hampshire primary win strengthens his 2024 Republican nomination chances, but winning independents poses a challenge. The 2020 study suggests Biden’s broader appeal and likability may challenge Trump’s divisive strategy.

By Professor Paul Whiteley Jan 25, 2024

2024 US Presidential Election

US election 2024: Trump victory in Iowa caucus not as big as he may have hoped – here’s why Biden still wants him to get GOP nomination

— Donald Trump’s Iowa caucus win attracts attention, but its predictive value is historically low due to unrepresentative demographics. Media should avoid overstating Trump’s success and political resurgence based on one caucus.

By David Hastings Dunn Jan 16, 2024

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